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FORMOSA NEWS - Bogor- Indonesia Strengthens National Security Strategy Amid Israel–Palestine Conflict Spillover Risks. The research was conducted by Bima Bonanza Wisnu, Mira Murniasari, and Mohammad Baharun from the State Intelligence College, Indonesia. A 2026 study published in the Formosa Journal of Applied Sciences reveals how Indonesia is adapting its national security strategy to manage the indirect impacts of the Israel–Palestine conflict. Their findings highlight why a geographically distant conflict can still influence Indonesia’s economic stability, social cohesion, and ideological landscape making it a critical national security concern.
Global Conflict, Domestic Consequences
The Israel–Palestine conflict has persisted for decades and continues to shape global geopolitics. While Indonesia is not directly involved militarily, its political stance, economic exposure, and societal dynamics make the country sensitive to the conflict’s ripple effects. Indonesia consistently supports Palestinian independence in international forums. This position strengthens its diplomatic identity but also connects domestic public sentiment with global developments. At the same time, volatility in the Middle East especially in energy markets can directly affect Indonesia’s economy through inflation, subsidy pressures, and reduced purchasing power. These overlapping pressures make the conflict relevant not only as a foreign policy issue but also as a domestic security challenge.
Simple Approach to Complex Security
The research applies a qualitative analytical method grounded in modern security studies. Instead of relying on field experiments, the authors examined academic literature, policy reports, and global data to understand how external conflicts influence national stability.
The analysis uses two key frameworks:
- Comprehensive national security, which includes political, economic, and social dimensions.
- Securitisation theory, which explains how governments frame issues as security threats.
This approach allows the study to map how distant geopolitical tensions can transform into local risks.
Key Findings: Three Main Risk Channels
The study identifies three primary pathways through which the Israel–Palestine conflict affects Indonesia:
Economic Vulnerability
Geopolitical instability in the Middle East often leads to oil price fluctuations. For Indonesia, this translates into:
- Rising inflation.
- Increased government subsidy burdens.
- Pressure on household income.
Social and Political Polarisation
Public reactions to the conflict frequently appear in:
- Mass demonstrations.
- Online activism.
- While mostly peaceful, these dynamics can increase social tension if not properly managed.
Ideological Spillover and Radicalisation Risks
Extremist groups may exploit the conflict as a symbolic narrative to:
- Spread propaganda.
- Recruit supporters.
- Frame global issues as religious or ideological struggles.
The study notes that even without direct operational links, “narrative contagion” can influence domestic security.
Real-World Impact
The findings have practical implications across multiple sectors:
- Government: Improve inter-agency coordination and early warning systems for global risks.
- Economy: Strengthen resilience against energy price volatility.
- Society: Prevent polarisation through inclusive communication and education.
- Security sector: Enhance counter-radicalisation strategies in digital and community spaces.
For policymakers, the study underscores the importance of anticipating indirect threats rather than reacting after crises emerge.
Author Profiles
Bima Bonanza Wisnu – Security studies researcher at Sekolah Intelijen Negara, specialising in national security strategy and geopolitical analysis.
Mira Murniasari – Academic researcher in international relations and public policy at Sekolah Intelijen Negara.
Mohammad Baharun – Security analyst focusing on global conflict dynamics and strategic intelligence.
Source
Bima Bonanza Wisnu, Mira Murniasari, dan Mohammad Baharun. Indonesia’s National Security Strategy in Managing the Implications of the Israel–Palestine Conflict. Formosa Journal of Applied Sciences (FJAS). Vol. 5, No.2, Hal 595-614.
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