Pontianak— Debt Does Not Determine Performance:
UPNVY Study Finds Efficiency, Size, and Sales Growth Matter More. Research conducted by Muhammad Iman,
Khoirul Hikmah, and Hendro Widjanarko from the Department of Management,
Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Yogyakarta (UPNVY) published in
January 2026 in the International Journal of Management Analytics (IJMA).
The research conducted by Muhammad
Iman, Khoirul Hikmah, and Hendro Widjanarko reveals that the performance of
manufacturing companies in Indonesia does not automatically improve simply
because of additional debt. This study is important because it emerges amid a
situation where the manufacturing industry is facing pressure: from weakening
profits, market volatility, to factory closures and layoffs.
What the Study Examined
The research evaluates four widely
discussed determinants of corporate performance:
- Leverage
(measured by Debt-to-Equity Ratio / DER)
- Managerial efficiency
(measured by the ratio of operating costs to revenue)
- Firm size
(measured using the natural logarithm of total assets)
- Sales growth
(measured by year-to-year sales changes)
Corporate performance was measured
using Return on Assets (ROA), a profitability ratio calculated from net
income divided by total assets.
Research Method: 161 Firms and 805
Observations
The authors used a quantitative
approach and applied panel data regression to financial statement
data from IDX-listed manufacturing firms.
From an initial population of 228
companies, they applied purposive sampling criteria and selected 161
companies that met the requirements. Over five years, this produced 805
firm-year observations (161 firms × 5 years).
To ensure statistical reliability, the
authors tested multiple regression models and determined that the Fixed
Effect Model (FEM) was the most appropriate, based on the results of the
Chow test, Hausman test, and Lagrange Multiplier test.
Main Findings: Debt Is Not the Key
Driver
The regression results show that the
four variables collectively influence corporate performance. However, when
examined individually, their impacts differ sharply.
1) Leverage Has No Significant Effect
The most striking result is that leverage
does not significantly affect corporate performance.
This means firms with higher DER are
not automatically less profitable, and firms with lower DER are not
automatically stronger performers. In other words, debt level alone is not a
reliable predictor of ROA for Indonesian manufacturing firms.
The authors suggest several possible
reasons:
- debt may not be allocated to
productive assets,
- firms may be able to manage
repayment burdens effectively,
- operational factors may be more
dominant than financing structure.
2) Managerial Efficiency Has a Positive
and Significant Impact
Managerial efficiency shows a positive
and statistically significant relationship with corporate performance.
This indicates that firms that control
operating costs effectively—without reducing productivity—tend to achieve
higher ROA.
In practical terms, the study
reinforces a business reality: profitability is not only about growing revenue,
but also about managing costs with discipline.
3) Firm Size Positively Influences
Performance
Firm size also has a positive and
significant effect on ROA.
Larger firms tend to benefit from:
- stronger production capacity,
- easier access to financing,
- better risk management systems,
- economies of scale.
This
suggests that asset strength still plays a critical role in manufacturing
profitability, particularly in industries where capital intensity remains high.
4) Sales Growth Significantly Improves Performance
Sales
growth is another variable that shows a positive and significant impact.
Companies
that experience consistent sales increases tend to improve asset utilization,
stabilize cash flow, and generate higher profitability.
Key
Regression Output
Using the
Fixed Effect Model, the authors produced the following regression equation:
Perform =
–1.077 – 0.0002(LEV) + 0.002(EM) + 0.085(FZ) + 0.035(SG)
The model
also produced an Adjusted R-squared of 0.4885, meaning approximately 48.85%
of performance variation in manufacturing firms can be explained by the
four variables.
The
remaining variation is likely influenced by other factors, including corporate
governance quality, innovation, macroeconomic conditions, market competition,
supply chain disruptions, and strategic decision-making.
Why Debt
Doesn’t Matter as Much as Expected
The paper
highlights an important insight: debt is not inherently harmful or beneficial.
Its impact depends heavily on how it is used.
The authors
point out that some companies maintained stable ROA even with very high debt
ratios, while others showed unstable profitability even when leverage levels
changed dramatically.
This
supports the idea that debt is simply a financial tool. If debt is used to
expand productive capacity, improve efficiency, or strengthen distribution
networks, it may help. If it is used inefficiently, it becomes neutral or even
harmful.
This also
helps explain why previous studies in Indonesia often show mixed results
regarding leverage—some report positive effects, some negative, and others no
significant effect at all.
Implications
for Businesses, Investors, and Policymakers
For
manufacturing companies
The study
provides a clear strategic message: firms should prioritize three key areas:
- improving cost
efficiency,
- strengthening asset
capacity,
- accelerating
sustainable sales growth.
Meanwhile,
debt decisions should be made cautiously, because leverage alone is not
guaranteed to increase profitability.
For
investors
The
findings also suggest that investors should not rely solely on DER when
evaluating manufacturing stocks.
Instead,
they should pay closer attention to:
- cost management
performance,
- total asset scale,
- sales growth trends.
These
variables show stronger and more consistent links to ROA than leverage does.
For
government and regulators
At the
policy level, the research implies that improving manufacturing competitiveness
cannot rely only on expanding access to credit or corporate borrowing.
A stronger
manufacturing sector depends on policies that support:
- operational efficiency,
- productivity upgrades,
- market expansion,
- innovation in sales and
distribution.
Author Profiles
- Muhammad
Iman -Universitas Pembangunan Nasional
Veteran Yogyakarta
- Khoirul
Hikmah - Universitas Pembangunan Nasional
Veteran Yogyakarta
- Hendro
Widjanarko -Universitas Pembangunan
Nasional Veteran Yogyakarta
Research
Source
Iman, Khoirul, Hendro. Leverage, Managerial Efficiency, Firm Size, and Sales
Growth as Determinants of Corporate Performance in IDX-Listed Manufacturing
Firms (2020–2024) International
Journal of Management Analytics (IJMA)Vol. 4 No. 1 (Januari 2026), hlm. 45–62
DOI: https://doi.org/10.59890/ijma.v4i1.228
URL resmi: https://dmimultitechpublisher.my.id/index.php/ijma
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