The Effect of Financial Performance and Market Risk on Stock Trading Volume

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FORMOSA NEWS - Surabaya - Financial Performance and Market Risk Shape Stock Trading Volume in Indonesia’s Food and Beverage Sector. The study conducted by Novita Romadhoni and Eni Wuryani from the Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, was published in the Formosa Journal of Multidisciplinary Research (Vol. 5 No. 2, 2026).

Their research reveals that several financial indicators are negatively correlated with stock trading activity. This finding is important because stock trading volume reflects investors’ direct responses to information disclosed by companies. While stock prices indicate v aluation, trading volume represents the intensity of market reaction.

Defensive Sector Under Economic Pressure

Between 2020 and 2024, Indonesia’s capital market experienced significant turbulence. The pandemic disrupted supply chains, global inflation surged, and monetary tightening increased financial pressure. Despite these challenges, food and beverage companies were generally considered defensive because consumer demand for essential goods tends to remain stable across economic cycles.

However, sector stability did not automatically translate into uniform investor behavior. Trading volume varied considerably among companies within the same subsector. This pattern prompted Romadhoni and Wuryani to examine how financial performance indicators and market risk are interpreted by investors and translated into trading decisions.

Research Design: 120 Firm-Year Observations

The study applied a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from annual reports published on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and stock market data from Yahoo Finance.

From an initial population of 131 companies, 24 firms met all selection criteria, including continuous listing status, no trading suspension, and complete financial statements from 2020 to 2024. With a five-year observation period, the researchers analyzed 120 firm-year observations.

The variables examined included:

  • Liquidity (Current Ratio)
  • Solvency (Debt to Equity Ratio)
  • Activity (Total Asset Turnover)
  • Profitability (Return on Equity)
  • Earnings Growth
  • Market Risk (Stock Beta)

Multiple linear regression analysis was conducted using SPSS version 25.

Key Findings: Investors Respond Selectively

The results reveal a selective investor response to financial and risk signals.

·        Liquidity shows a significant negative effect.
Higher liquidity is associated with lower trading volume. Extremely high liquidity may signal inefficient asset utilization rather than strong financial health.

·       Solvency shows no significant effect.
Leverage levels among the sampled firms were relatively homogeneous and did not meaningfully differentiate investor decisions.

·        Activity has a significant positive effect.
Companies that efficiently utilize assets to generate sales attract more trading activity. Operational efficiency appears to be a strong positive signal.

·        Profitability has a significant negative effect.
Although profitability is typically seen as favorable, fluctuating and sometimes negative Return on Equity weakened investor confidence during the observation period.

·         Earnings growth has no significant effect.
High volatility in earnings growth reduced its reliability as a consistent signal for investors.

·      Market risk has a significant negative effect.
Higher stock beta, indicating greater sensitivity to market movements, leads to lower trading volume. Investors tend to reduce trading activity in higher-risk stocks.

·    Simultaneously, all independent variables significantly influence trading volume. However, the model explains only 25.5 percent of the variation, indicating that other factors—such as investor sentiment and macroeconomic conditions—also play substantial roles.

Implications: Stability and Efficiency Matter More Than Profit Figures

The study suggests that during periods of economic uncertainty, investors prioritize operational efficiency and stability over short-term profitability growth. Market risk also plays a decisive role in shaping trading intensity.

According to Novita Romadhoni, financial indicators function as signals only when they are perceived as stable and credible. In volatile conditions, investors become more cautious and selective in interpreting financial information.

For corporate managers, the findings emphasize the importance of maintaining asset efficiency and consistent performance rather than focusing solely on short-term profit expansion. For investors, the study highlights the need to evaluate both internal financial metrics and external market risk before making trading decisions. For policymakers, the research provides insight into how information efficiency in Indonesia’s capital market could be strengthened, particularly during crisis periods.

Author Profiles

Novita Romadhoni, is a lecturer and researcher at the Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, specializing in financial management and capital market studies.

Eni Wuryani is a senior academic at the same faculty with expertise in financial accounting, corporate performance, and capital market research.

Research Source

Title: The Effect of Financial Performance and Market Risk on Stock Trading Volume
Authors: Novita Romadhoni and Eni Wuryani
Journal: Formosa Journal of Multidisciplinary Research, Vol. 5 No. 2, 2026, pp. 695–712

DOI/URL: https://doi.org/10.55927/fjmr.v5i2.19

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