Banten— Liquidity and Debt Ratios Fail to
Predict Financial Distress in Indonesia’s Media and Entertainment Firms. The research conducted by Nindie
Ellesia and Ratna Dumilah from Universitas Pamulang, published in January
2026 in the International Journal of Education and Life Sciences (IJELS).
The
research conducted by Nindie Ellesia and Ratna Dumilah revealed that
popular financial indicators such as the Current Ratio (CR) and Debt
to Equity Ratio (DER) are not strong enough to predict financial
distress in companies within the media and entertainment subsector
listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX).
This research is important because Indonesia’s media and entertainment industry is growing rapidly, driven by a surge in digital content consumption, streaming, e-sports, and the creative economy. However, industry growth does not always align with the financial health of all companies within it. Some listed companies remain at risk of experiencing financial pressure, even when the market appears promising.
What
Financial Distress Means—and Why Investors Should Care
Financial
distress refers to a condition where a company begins to lose its financial
stability and struggles to meet its obligations.
The
authors explain that financial distress is often seen as the “pre-bankruptcy
stage.” Companies in this phase may face liquidity problems, heavy debt
pressure, or declining operational performance.
For
investors and creditors, financial distress matters because it can lead to:
- declining
stock value,
- reduced
market confidence,
- limited
access to new funding,
- and in severe cases, bankruptcy or liquidation.
Main
Findings: CR and DER Are Not Significant Predictors
The
results were consistent and clear.
Simultaneous
Effect (F-Test)
The
F-test showed that CR and DER together do not significantly affect financial
distress.
Partial
Effect (t-Test)
Individually,
neither ratio was statistically significant:
- CR
significance value: 0.8855
(> 0.05)
- DER
significance value: 0.1475
(> 0.05)
This
means that even if a company has a high liquidity ratio or a high debt ratio,
it does not automatically translate into distress status under the Altman
Z-Score classification.
Why
Liquidity and Debt Ratios May Not Work in This Industry
The
authors suggest several reasons why CR and DER may not be strong predictors in
this case.
One
major factor is the limited sample size. Only three companies met the
complete reporting criteria across the seven-year period. This limitation may
reduce the statistical power of the results.
Another
explanation lies in the unique structure of media and entertainment companies.
Many firms in this industry depend on:
- intangible
assets such as broadcasting rights, content libraries, and intellectual
property,
- revenue
streams that fluctuate strongly based on trends,
- advertising
income that is sensitive to economic cycles,
- digital
platform expansion that requires high upfront costs.
These
characteristics can make traditional liquidity and debt ratios less informative
compared to other sectors such as manufacturing or banking.
What
This Means for Investors and Business Leaders
The
study delivers a practical message:
Investors
should not rely only on CR and DER when evaluating distress risk in media and
entertainment firms.
Instead,
they may need to combine ratio analysis with broader indicators such as:
- operating
cash flow,
- profitability
measures (ROA, ROE),
- earnings
stability,
- revenue
growth from digital products,
- and
business model resilience.
For
business leaders, the findings suggest that improving company health is not
just about “fixing ratios,” but about building sustainable revenue and managing
volatility.
Study
Limitations and Recommendations
Ellesia
and Dumilah clearly acknowledge that the research has limitations.
The
study:
- used
only two independent variables (CR and DER),
- relied
on a small sample (3 firms),
- focused
only on quantitative analysis.
They
recommend that future studies:
- expand the sample size,
- use a longer observation period,
- include additional variables,
- and consider mixed-method
approaches to better understand distress dynamics.
Author
Profiles
- Nindie
Ellesia - Universitas Pamulang
- Ratna
Dumilah - Universitas Pamulang
Research
Source
Nindie, Ratna. The Effect of Current
Ratio and Debt to Equity Ratio on Financial Distress in the Media and
Entertainment Subsector
International Journal of Education and Life Sciences (IJELS)Vol. 4, No.
1
DOI:https://doi.org/10.59890/ijels.v4i1.257
URL:
https://ntlmultitechpublisher.my.id/index.php/ijels
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