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FORMOSA NEWS - Surabaya - A recent study by Dwi Nur Cahyarani and Restikasari from Universitas Negeri Surabaya (UNESA), Surabaya, Indonesia, highlights how education access, health conditions, and economic status shape school dropout rates across Indonesia. Published in 2025 in the Formosa Journal of Multidisciplinary Research (FJMR), the research analyzes national data from 2021 to 2023 and identifies key structural challenges affecting students’ ability to stay in school. The findings matter because they provide evidence-based insights for policymakers working to reduce dropout rates and improve human capital development in Indonesia.

Growing Concern Over School Dropouts

School dropout remains a persistent issue in Indonesia, especially in regions with limited infrastructure and economic inequality. Despite government efforts to expand access to education, many students still leave school before completing secondary education.

This issue is closely tied to broader national development goals. Education plays a critical role in shaping workforce quality, economic productivity, and social mobility. When students drop out early, the long-term impact extends beyond individuals to affect national competitiveness and social equity.

Previous reports from organizations such as the World Bank have emphasized that improving education outcomes is essential for Indonesia’s economic future. However, dropout rates remain uneven across regions, suggesting that multiple factors—not just access to schools—are at play.

How the Study Was Conducted

The research by Dwi Nur Cahyarani and Restikasari uses a quantitative statistical approach based on secondary data from Indonesian provinces. The dataset covers the period from 2021 to 2023 and includes indicators related to:

  • Education participation
  • Health conditions
  • Economic factors

The researchers applied statistical modeling techniques to identify relationships between these variables and school dropout rates. Instead of focusing on a single city or region, the study takes a national perspective, comparing conditions across provinces in Indonesia.

This approach allows for a broader understanding of systemic issues influencing dropout rates.

Key Findings

The study reveals several important insights into why students leave school in Indonesia:

1. Economic hardship is a major driver
Students from lower-income households are significantly more likely to drop out, as financial constraints limit access to continued education.
2. Health conditions affect school participation
Poor health and limited access to healthcare contribute to absenteeism and eventual dropout.
3. Educational access and quality matter
Regions with weaker education infrastructure and fewer resources show higher dropout rates.
4. Regional disparities remain significant
Differences between provinces indicate that geographic inequality continues to influence educational outcomes.
5. Interconnected factors amplify risk
Economic, health, and education variables do not act independently; they reinforce each other, increasing the likelihood of dropout.

These findings confirm that school dropout is not caused by a single issue but by a combination of structural challenges.

Real-World Impact and Policy Implications

The research offers practical insights for improving education policy in Indonesia. By identifying the main drivers of dropout, the study supports more targeted interventions.

For policymakers, the findings suggest the need for:

  • Integrated programs that combine education, health, and social assistance
  • Increased investment in underserved regions
  • Policies that reduce financial barriers to schooling

For the education sector, the study highlights:

  • The importance of improving school quality and accessibility
  • The need for early detection of at-risk students
  • Stronger support systems within schools

For society and the economy, reducing dropout rates can:

  • Improve workforce readiness
  • Increase productivity
  • Reduce long-term inequality

Dwi Nur Cahyarani of Universitas Negeri Surabaya emphasizes that addressing dropout rates requires a holistic approach. The study indicates that improving education alone is not enough without also addressing economic and health-related barriers.

Author Insight

The researchers underline that school dropout reflects broader social conditions. As Dwi Nur Cahyarani and Restikasari from Universitas Negeri Surabaya explain in their analysis, education outcomes are closely linked to household welfare and regional development. Their findings reinforce the idea that effective education policy must be integrated with social and economic strategies.

Author Profile

Dwi Nur Cahyarani is a researcher affiliated with Universitas Negeri Surabaya (UNESA), Indonesia, specializing in education and social policy analysis. Her work focuses on educational access, inequality, and human capital development.

Restikasari is also affiliated with Universitas Negeri Surabaya, with expertise in educational research and statistical analysis. Her research interests include education systems, participation rates, and policy evaluation.

Source

“Statistical Modeling and Factors Influencing School Dropout in Indonesia”
Formosa Journal of Multidisciplinary Research (FJMR), 2025.